Oil surges back up on Russia tensions

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS – MARCH 17: Motorists line up to receive free gas at a station in the Humboldt Park neighborhood on March 17, 2022 in Chicago, Illinois. Businessman and philanthropist Willie Wilson gave away $200,000 worth of gas which was distributed to residents at 10 gas stations in the city. Motorists were allowed to fill up their tanks with up to $50 in gas at each station. Scott Olson/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by SCOTT OLSON / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)

 

LONDON, United Kingdom (AFP) — Oil prices soared Thursday on tensions surrounding key producer Russia, as equities diverged with traders tracking interest rate decisions, the Ukraine conflict and China’s pledge to support volatile markets.

The price of benchmark oil contract, Brent North Sea crude, jumped more than five percent to return above $100 per barrel after Russia rejected a ruling from the UN’s top court to suspend its Ukraine offensive.

“Russia’s invasion is still dictating price action… given the country’s global importance in terms of supply,” Interactive Investor analyst Victoria Scholar told AFP.

The fallout from the war in Ukraine could cut global economic growth by “over one percentage point” in the first year after the invasion, the OECD grouping of developed economies said in a report.

The impact “if sustained” would produce “a deep recession in Russia” and further increase global consumer price inflation by approximately 2.5 percentage points, it added.

The warning came as Russia’s finance ministry said it had carried out interest payments on two foreign bonds, avoiding default for now after it was hit by unprecedented Western sanctions over Ukraine.

– Central banks –
Central banks were in focus again on Thursday as the Bank of England (BoE) raised its main interest rate by a quarter point, following the US Federal Reserve’s decision to do the same the day before.

The hike, widely anticipated by analysts, was the BoE’s third straight rate rise as it battles with decades-high UK inflation.

“The global economy faces elevated levels of inflation because of various factors, including from surging energy and commodity prices,” said Fawad Razaqzada, analyst at ThinkMarkets.

A pedestrian walks past an electronic share price board showing the closing numbers on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (L) and a foreign exchange board showing the yen’s rate against the US dollar (R) in Tokyo on March 17, 2022. (Photo by Kazuhiro NOGI / AFP)

US markets were slightly down shortly after opening, as the market came to terms with the Fed’s decision on Wednesday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 slipped 0.4 percent, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 0.9 percent.

In Asia, Hong Kong’s main stocks index closed with another massive gain, as investors pile back in after China’s pledge to support markets.

The Hang Seng surged seven percent, a day after a nine-percent jump.

Another blistering surge in tech firms helped Hong Kong extend its recovery from the recent rout, while traders also cheered soothing comments on the US economy by the Fed.

A man walks past a sign showing the numbers for the Hang Seng Index before the close in Hong Kong on March 16, 2022. – Hong Kong stocks soared on March 16 by 9.08 percent, or 1,672.42 points, after Chinese authorities pledged much-needed support to beaten-down markets. (Photo by Peter PARKS / AFP)

China’s top economic official has vowed measures to support beaten-down markets and indicated that a debilitating crackdown on the technology sector was nearing its end.

“The statement addressed so many issues on various fronts, which is really rare,” said Ding Shuang at Standard Chartered.

“Selloffs tended to be self-fulfilling partly because of the lack of response from the government,” but part of the government’s aim is likely to break that inertia and stabilise expectations, he added.

– Key figures around 1330 GMT –
Brent North Sea crude: UP 7.0 percent at $104.74 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: UP 6.7 percent at $101.43 per barrel

London – FTSE 100: UP 0.5 percent at 7,330.50 points

Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 1.3 percent at 14,249.45

Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 0.6 at 6,552.16

EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 1.1 percent at 3,846.99

New York – DOW: DOWN 0.4 percent at 33,939.45

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 7.0 percent at 21,501.23 (close)

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 3.5 percent at 26,652.88 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: UP 1.4 percent at 3,215.04 (close)

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1060 from $1.1038 late Wednesday

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3106 from $1.3148

Euro/pound: UP at 84.41 pence from 83.90 pence

Dollar/yen: UP at 118.77 yen from 118.73 yen

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© Agence France-Presse